Nik’s Picks – Week 2 CFL Predictions
Last week’s Nik’s Picks.
Saskatchewan Roughriders @ Ottawa Redblacks -6:
If you like the ground game, this game’s for you. Saskatchewan and Ottawa were the only two teams to attempt 30-plus rushes in Week 1. With Zach Collaros injured and a quarterback carousel incoming for the Riders, I expect them to eclipse that number. What’s difficult is that both teams have great defences and weak offences. But weird things happen when these teams meet, and the total’s gone over in six of their past eight meetings. Ottawa was impressive in Week 1, but I can’t see Dom Davis moving the ball on the Riders — and Mossis Madu won’t have 100 on the ground in the third quarter. Part of me thinks the Riders are better with Fajardo or Harker, emphasis on or. Ottawa’s also got a brutal turnaround after playing in Calgary on Saturday. Riders in a nail-biter.
Saskatchewan 26 Ottawa 25
Best bet: Over 43.5
B.C. Lions @ Edmonton Eskimos -4.5:
B.C. looked good out of the gate in Week 1 until their offence broke down after half-time. Edmonton looked good throughout their Week 1 contest, although they almost blew a double-digit lead to the Alouettes. The big story here is the return of Mike Reilly and his one-dimensional offence. Although the Lions rushed four times for four yards in Week 1, a decent amount of Reilly’s early completions where quick hitches or screens that acted as a stretched-out run game. It worked until Reilly’s receivers made costly drops. Looking at the weather (rain throughout), B.C. could be in big trouble with their run game, especially if C.J. Gable has the success A. Harris had against B.C. in Week 1. Regardless, I expect fireworks. The Esks are at home and didn’t show any chemistry issues, they win by eight.
B.C. 26 Edmonton 34
Best bet: EDM FH -2
Hamilton Tiger-Cats -2 @ Toronto Argonauts:
The Argos are a wild-card and it starts with James Franklin. The personnel around Franklin is extremely talented, but it’s tough to have confidence in an unproven quarterback. Hamilton ranked last in multiple offensive categories in Week 1, granted their opponent was Saskatchewan. Something felt off with Hamilton last week and I think Toronto matches up nicely against Hamilton. I expect the Argonauts carousel of backs to expose Hamilton’s run defence that gave up 172 on the ground last week. Points are for granted in this match. Hamilton has a trend of road overs, Toronto has a trend of home overs and seven of their last 10 meetings have gone over. I think Toronto’s going to win this game on the ground as long as they take care of the ball. Argos by 4.
Hamilton 27 Toronto 31
Best bet: Over 53
Last week: 1-3
Bet of the week:
SSK-OTT over 43.5 -110
SSK-OTT over 43.5 -110 1.5u
SSK team total over 18.5 -120 1u
SSK ML +195 .5u
EDM FH -2 -120 1u
TOR +3.5 -110 1u
6.5-point teaser: SSK-OTT over 37, EDM-BC over 49.5, HAM-TOR over 46.5 +140 .75u
Last week: 3-5 -3.03u
Season: 3-5 -3.03u