Nik’s Picks – Week 3 CFL Predictions
Last week’s Nik’s Picks — we talkin’ profit.
Edmonton Eskimos @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers -3.5:
It’s hard to go against the Eskimos right now but it’s also difficult to pick Winnipeg losing at home. Winnipeg’s adding Chris Matthews to their lineup and are quite healthy while Edmonton’s got multiple key injured players. Two of the biggest deciders are Trevor Harris versus Winnipeg’s secondary and the Eskimos offensive line versus Winnipeg’s defensive line. Edmonton’s got a significant advantage in both, although things can change. Matt Nichols needs time in the pocket to succeed, but I’m doubtful Winnipeg’s o-line can outplay the Esks d-line. Harris to Ellingson tends to get the better of Winnipeg too. Esks by three.
Edmonton 28 Winnipeg 25
Best bet: EDM +5
Montreal Alouettes @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats -14:
As the case in Week 1, I’m not sure how Montreal will generate pressure on Hamilton’s offence or stop their run game. The Ti-Cats are coming off a 64-point outing and should have their way with Montreal. Vernon Adams Jr. has given some fans hope, but to me, he was shaky and was bailed out by his receivers in Week 1. Montreal’s key to success is their ground game, William Stanback needs the ball early and more than nine total carries. If Montreal can keep it close and be on the right side of turnovers, they have a chance. But they can only hold off Masoli’s offence for so long. Tiger-Cats by two scores.
Montreal 18 Hamilton 32
Best bet: Under 58
B.C. Lions @ Calgary Stampeders -10.5:
B.C.’s Week 2 loss at Edmonton was ugly, but I believe it meant less than Calgary’s season-opening loss at home. Calgary’s defence isn’t the same as years past. They showed issues defending the run and couldn’t hold off Ottawa during crunch time. B.C.’s offensive line is underachieving, I think they’re due for a breakout outing against a suspect defensive line. If so, Mike Reilly has the power to pick apart Calgary’s defence. I like the Lions moves on their line (Hunter Steward not at centre) and backfield (Branden Dozier at safety). The Lions won in Calgary last season, so why can’t they do it again? Leos by two in a shootout.
B.C. 30 Calgary 28
Best bet: B.C. +10
Toronto Argonauts @ Saskatchewan Roughriders -12.5:
Prior to Saturday afternoon, the Argos were the CFL’s biggest wild-card. It’s safe to say they need a lot of work across the board. James Franklin still looks mediocre, their secondary was sluggish and their offensive showing was bizarre — James Wilder Jr. had six carries and Derel Walker was lining up as an extra blocker at times. The Riders record doesn’t do them justice. I’m still on record saying the Riders have the best defence in the league, and Cody Fajardo looks surprisingly good. If they play a sound game on both sides of the ball, they should coast to victory. What better way to earn your first win then at your home opener on Canada Day against a club who lost by 50 last week. Riders by 17.
Toronto 15 Saskatchewan 32
Best bet: SSK -11
Last week: 1-2
Bet of the week:
B.C. +10.5 -110
EDM-WPG under 59.5 -110 1u
Montreal QB’s over 14.5 completions -120 1u
B.C. +10.5 -110 2u
BC ML +350 .5u
SSK -11 -110 1u
TOR team total under 20.5 -110 1u
6.5-point teaser: HAM -6.5, MTL-HAM under 64.5, SSK -5 +140 1u
Last week: 5-2 +3.45u
Season: 8-7 +.42u
Main image credit: Embed from Getty Images