Nik’s Picks – Week 4 CFL Predictions
Last week’s Nik’s Picks — we talkin’ BIG (and more) profit.
Hamilton Tiger-Cats -12.5 @ Montreal Alouettes:
The Tiger-Cats beat the Alouettes by 31 last Friday and the two teams are facing off in Week 4 with virtually the same rosters aside from Luke Tasker and Bralon Addison swapping spots on the roster and injured list. Montreal actually won the turnover battle last week yet were blown out. The same result will transpire in the Alouettes home opener. Montreal can stick around, but a big play or two against an exhausted Als defence will break open the Ti-Cats lead. Jeremiah Masoli threw for 417 last week, while Alouettes pivots have averaged 188 yards in their last 10 meetings with Hamilton. Tabbies by 20.
Hamilton 39 Montreal 19
Best bet: HAM -12.5
Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Ottawa Redblacks -3.5:
To be clear, Dom Davis isn’t scoring 40-plus on Winnipeg. The Bombers didn’t allow a touchdown to Trevor Harris’ offence and I think there’s a realistic shot they repeat that effort against Davis’ red hot unit. Winnipeg’s familiar with Davis, and I expect the Bombers to swarm the league’s early surprise. The Redblacks secondary has an advantage over Winnipeg’s receivers, but like last week, I expect Winnipeg to use their speed on short passes and a much better game from Andrew Harris to propel them to victory. Willie Jefferson’s also due for a breakout evening. Winnipeg’s won three straight in Ottawa, they make it four on Friday night in a defensive battle. Bombers move to 3-0 and win by nine.
Winnipeg 29 Ottawa 20
Best bet: WPG ML
B.C. Lions -7 @ Toronto Argonauts:
The Lions are one of the best 0-3 teams to date, while the Argos look like one of the worst 0-2 teams in a while at a -75 point differential. Similar to B.C.-Calgary games in Calgary, there’s a recent history of low-scoring B.C.-Toronto games in Toronto. But this match has offence written all over it, as did the Lions’ Week 3 game. McLeod Bethel-Thompson is intriguing and is possibly the change Toronto needs (remember his first start in 2018?), but Toronto’s defence is too awful to side with. Their secondary needs extreme work in all aspects, while their front hasn’t registered a sack. On offence, Jacques Chapdelaine is scheming up some odd looks. Reilly repeats his Week 3 outing and earns a win. B.C. by 13.
B.C. 39 Toronto 26
Best bet: Over 55
Calgary Stampeders @ Saskatchewan Roughriders -3:
The status of Bo Levi Mitchell will decide whether this a close game or not. With Nick Arbuckle behind centre, Calgary stands no chance in Regina. Don Jackson, Juwan Brescacin and Brandon Smith have all been ruled out for Calgary plus their decimated defensive line. Cody Fajardo’s offence has been stellar with great starts made up of a balanced attack of crisp deep-shots and a run game. The Riders will score early if Fajardo has time to make the right play, which he should without a legitimate pass-rush against him. Recently there’s been no shortage of drama between these two, usually in favour of the Riders — but I don’t see the juju going Calgary’s way here. Riders by a couple of scores, they win by 17.
Calgary 16 Saskatchewan 33
Best bet: SSK FH -2.5
Last week: 2-2
Bet of the week:
WPG ML +135
HAM -12.5 -110 1u
WPG ML +135 1.5u
Darvin Adams over 3.5 catches -115 .5u
Darvin Adams over 60.5 receiving yards -110 .5u
BC-TOR over 55 -110 1u
SSK FH -2.5 105 1u
7-point teaser: WPG +10.5, WPG-OTT under 59.5, B.C.-TOR over 47.5
Last week: 6-1 +6.27u
Season: 14-8 +6.69u
Main image credit: Embed from Getty Images