Nik’s Picks Week 18 2019

Nik's Picks
MONTREAL, QC - SEPTEMBER 21: Montreal Alouettes Defensive back Tommie Campbell (23) tackles Winnipeg Blue Bombers Running back Andrew Harris (33) during the Winnipeg Blue Bombers versus the Montreal Alouettes game on September 21, 2019, at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium in Montreal, QC (Photo by David Kirouac/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Nik’s Picks – Week 18 CFL Predictions

Last week’s Nik’s Picks
Nik’s Picks Week 18 YouTube video

Friday

Ottawa Redblacks @ Toronto Argonauts:
With both teams out of the playoffs and new players inserted in each lineup, this game’s more of a tryout. Under centre, McLeod Bethel-Thompson is back for the Argos after torching Ottawa’s defence for 381 passing yards and 39 points last month. For Ottawa, Will Ardnt (quarterback) and Greg Morris (running back) are getting their shot with the team. Both teams rank as the lowest-scoring first half clubs, and the Argos have won 10 of their last 11 at home against Ottawa. In an ugly game, the Argos pull one out. Toronto by eight.
Ottawa 16 Toronto 24
Best bet: First half under 24

Saskatchewan Roughriders @ Calgary Stampeders:
Despite Calgary’s 5-2 home record, McMahon Stadium hasn’t been so scary for opponents in 2019, and specifically for the Riders after winning their last two games there. Without Derek Dennis on the offensive line, Saskatchewan’s front can get after Bo Levi Mitchell to force turnovers. And they’ll be an extra emphasis on the turnover battle in this one, with the Riders going 6-0 when committing fewer turnovers and Stamps forcing the most turnovers in 2019. With first on the line, the Riders come through. Saskatchewan by three.
Saskatchewan 27 Calgary 24
Best bet: SSK +3

Saturday

Montreal Alouettes @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers:
Mother Nature is the x-factor in Winnipeg Saturday, where poor playing conditions (snow!) will force each team to amplify their ground game. That said, it’s advantage Winnipeg, who ranks first in rushing yards for and against per game. The “playoff weather” comes at an opportune time for the Bombers who have dropped three in a row. The Alouettes are stuck in second place and appear to be quite nicked up after last week’s crucial victory. Winnipeg and Chris Streveler need these two points way more than the Als do. Bombers by four.
Montreal 15 Winnipeg 19
Best bet: Under 46.5

B.C. Lions @ Edmonton Eskimos:
The Lions have built up a four-game win streak in anticipation of this massive showdown with the struggling Esks. While Edmonton stills ranks first in passing yards against, they’ve shown a vulnerability through the air as of late, mainly at the expense of Money Hunter. With B.C.’s offence soaring, expect them to abuse Hunter and Co. with Bryan Burnham and Shaq Johnson. The Lions have lost five straight in Edmonton, but all five were with either Mike Reilly or Trevor Harris behind centre, not Logan Kilgore. B.C. keeps rolling, win by 11.
B.C. 31 Edmonton 20
Best bet: BC -2.5

Last week: 3-1
Season: 41-24

Bet of the week (9-8):
MTL-WPG under 46.5 -110

Personal plays:
OTT-TOR first half under 24 -105 1u
Toronto QBs over 1.5 touchdown passes +140 .75u
James Wilder Jr. over 35.5 rushing yards -120 .75u
Reggie Begelton over 5.5 receptions -125 .75u
Calgary QBs over .5 interceptions -115 .75u
MTL-WPG first half under 23.5 -115 1u
MTL-WPG under 46.5 -110 2.5u
WPG first half -2 -110 1u
Andrew Harris over 85.5 rushing yards -105 .75u
MTL QBs over .5 touchdown passes +120 .75u
B.C. -2.5 -115 1.5u
EDM QBs over .5 interceptions -110 .75u
Ricky Collins Jr. under 70.5 receiving yards -115 .75u

6-point teaser: TOR +5, MTL-WPG under 52.5, B.C.-EDM over 39.5 +160 1u

Last week: 7-4 +3.5u
Season: 71–65-3 +2.05u

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