Nik’s Picks East and West Semifinals 2019

Nik's Picks
MONTREAL, QC - JULY 20: Vernon Adams Jr. #8 of the Montreal Alouettes slides with the ball near Larry Dean #11 and Tevaun Smith #4 of the Edmonton Eskimos during the CFL game at Percival Molson Stadium on July 20, 2019 in Montreal, Quebec, Canada. (Photo by Minas Panagiotakis/Getty Images)

Nik’s Picks – East and West Semifinals CFL Predictions

Last week’s Nik’s Picks.
Nik’s Picks East and West Semifinals YouTube video.

Sunday

Edmonton Eskimos @ Montreal Alouettes:
It gon’ rain! Or snow, or simply be miserable and windy outside in Montreal. If so, it changes Edmonton’s entire gameplan on offence. Trevor Harris has the ability to shred the Als’ defence, but can their run game get past Montreal’s front? Montreal needs to utilize the legs of William Stanback, Jeremiah Johnson and Vernon Adams Jr. in order to keep Edmonton’s tenacious pass rush a non-factor, and the ball out of Trevor Harris’ hands.

The better defence will win this game. On paper that’s Edmonton, but the wind and slush may eliminate the passing game, swinging the momentum in Montreal’s favour if they don’t have to worry about Harris’ aerial attack. There’s also the crossover factor with Edmonton on the road where they went 3-6 this season, going 0-5 versus playoff teams.

Montreal’s run offence and Edmonton’s discipline are my deciding factors here. Als by four.
Edmonton 14 Montreal 18
Best bet: Under 51

Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Calgary Stampeders:
It’s round four, except this time the Stamps know Zach Collaros is a threat. With wind and snow in the forecast, the Stamps know Winnipeg’s ground game will be a problem too. Collaros connected on calculated chances in Week 20 and will have to walk the line between conservative and aggressive on Sunday. For Calgary, they better hope the weather allows Bo Levi Mitchell to dissect a struggling Winnipeg defensive backfield.

Both defences thrive on turnovers, going a combined 17-4 when committing fewer giveaways. Bombers returner Janarion Grant will also be an X-factor after running wild on the teams’ versus Calgary. Lastly, the status of Chris Streveler is crucial. While Streveler won’t start, having him come in at times could put the Stamps defence in a scramble.

This tilt comes down to how many passing yards and scores Mitchell can generate against Winnipeg’s defence versus how many rushing yards and scores Winnipeg can generate against Calgary’s defence. The Bombers and Andrew Harris pull it off. Winnipeg by one.
Winnipeg 23 Calgary 22
Best bet: WPG +6

Last week: 3-1
Season: 52-29

Bet of the week (11-10):
EDM-MTL under 51 -110

Personal plays:
EDM-MTL under 51 -110 2.5u
EDM-MTL first half under 25.5 -110 1u
William Stanback over 60.5 rushing yards -115 .5u
Greg Ellingson under 70.5 receiving yards -115 .5u
EDM QBs under 290.5 passing yards -110 .5u
MTL -2 -110 1u
WPG +6 -110 1.5u
WPG QBs over 200.5 passing yards -110 .5u
Terry Williams under 30.5 rushing yards -125 .5u

6-point teaser: EDM-MTL under 56, WPG-CGY under 55.5, WPG +12 +160 1u

Last week: 5-2 +2.45u
Season: 99–79-5 +12.56u

Main image credit: Embed from Getty Images

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